Conditional survival estimates for patients with plasma cell leukemia: An analysis of the SEER database. Meeting Abstract (Web of Science)

abstract

  • e19533 Background: Plasma cell leukemia (PCL) is an aggressive malignancy with poor prognosis. Retrospective studies have suggested improved outcomes with stem cell transplant and use of novel agents. Methods: We used the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results database to identify 480 patients with PCL from 1973 to 2009. Kaplan Meier method was used to calculate 3-year Cancer Specific Survival (CSS) estimates, conditional on 1 to 3 years of survival (CS3). Covariates included age, sex, race and geographic location. The cohort was divided into three time frames, 1973-95, 1996-2005 and 2006-2009, to account for use of transplant from 1995 and novel agents from 2005. Results: 398 patients were selected for analysis from the initial cohort. Median age was 65. 50.75% were female and 65.8% were white. The 3-year CSS for patients with PCL was 19.6% and conditional probability of surviving additional 3 years (CS3) at 1, 2, 3 and 5 years from diagnosis was 36.9%, 51.5%, 58.5% and 71.2% respectively. CSS rates at 3 years during 1973-95, 1995-2005 and 2006-2009 were 14.7%, 12.4% and 32.9% respectively and the CS3 improved from 37.4% / 27.9% / 44.5% at 1 year to 72.7% / 46.3% / 57.5% at 3 years. 3-year CSS rates of patients aged < 50, 50-59, > 70 years was 19.9%, 19.7% and 18.7% respectively. The CS3 with each year survived increased for all age groups, with the most dramatic increase for those > 70 years (45.8% at 1 year to 80.5% at 3 years). Hispanics had the lowest 3-year CSS rate (5.5%). Improvement in CS3 from 1 to 3 years for races was as follows – Whites: 35.8% to 57.9%, Blacks: 41.9% to 50.10%, Asians: 28.6% to 67% and Hispanics: 18.7% to 33.3%. 3-year CSS rate for patients from metropolitan/non-metropolitan areas was 19.5%/18%. CS3 for metropolitan/non-metropolitan areas increased from 38.2%/27.3% at 1 year to 63%/33.3% at 3 years. Conclusions: The risk profile of patients with PCL changes as they survive past the diagnosis. Improvements in survival are more substantial in older patients and patients from metropolitan areas.

authors

  • Iyer, Veena
  • Bagchi, Arindam
  • Hamouda, Danae M
  • Nai, Qiang
  • Hakim, Hosam
  • Verghese, Cherian

publication date

  • 2017

published in

start page

  • e19533

end page

  • e19533

volume

  • 35

issue

  • 15_suppl